Russian President Vladimir Putin at a ceremony to mark the 75th anniversary of the Russian Federal Medical-Biological Agency in Moscow on Wednesday. (Sergei Bobylev - Sputnik, Kremlin Pool via AP)
Russian military officials concede that the 1 June Ukrainian drone strike set multiple aircraft ablaze at the Olenya and Belaya air bases, but they continue to downplay losses, describing them as “several airframes.” Satellite analysts and independent defense outlets have documented at least five Tu-95MS strategic bombers destroyed and two more damaged, plus up to four Tu-22M3 Backfire bombers and an An-12 transport. Ukraine claims the tally is far higher—41 aircraft damaged or destroyed—while Western intelligence services put the number of total write-offs in the low double digits. Even at the most conservative estimate, Russia has lost roughly 10 percent of its operational Bear-H fleet and a similar share of its Backfires, airframes that cannot be replaced quickly because production lines closed decades ago.